SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 67.7%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for FCSB had a probability of 14.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 1-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.41%), while for a FCSB win it was 1-2 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rangers | Draw | FCSB |
67.7% ( 0.2) | 18.19% ( -0.05) | 14.1% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 55.56% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.49% ( -0.12) | 36.5% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.35% ( -0.13) | 58.64% ( 0.13) |
| Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.1% ( 0.01) | 9.89% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.22% ( 0.04) | 32.77% ( -0.04) |
| FCSB Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.66% ( -0.29) | 38.34% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.9% ( -0.28) | 75.09% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rangers | Draw | FCSB |
| 2-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 7.5% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 4.34% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.01% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.12% Total : 67.7% | 1-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.19% | 1-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.91% Total : 14.1% |
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