SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 36.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ludogorets Razgrad | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
38.05% ( -0.22) | 25.9% ( 0.06) | 36.05% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 54.56% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.25% ( -0.24) | 49.75% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.24% ( -0.21) | 71.75% ( 0.21) |
| Ludogorets Razgrad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.43% ( -0.23) | 25.57% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.56% ( -0.32) | 60.44% ( 0.31) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.3% ( -0.02) | 26.7% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.04% ( -0.02) | 61.95% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ludogorets Razgrad | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 1-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.51% Total : 38.05% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 3.16% Total : 36.05% |
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