SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
34.46% ( -0.16) | 23.9% ( 0.06) | 41.63% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 61.37% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.19% ( -0.36) | 40.81% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.8% ( -0.37) | 63.2% ( 0.36) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.58% ( -0.26) | 23.42% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.59% ( -0.37) | 57.41% ( 0.37) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.14% ( -0.11) | 19.86% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.03% ( -0.18) | 51.96% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.07% Total : 34.46% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.9% | 1-2 @ 8.82% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.75% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 3.1% Total : 41.63% |
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