After their scintillating run through November, Lazio have been a little more vulnerable since suffering a six-goal Serie A thrashing by Inter last month.
While the home side still pose plenty of threat, Real Sociedad should be capable of scoring and perhaps claiming a point.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 39.64%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
-0.05) 
0.06) 
