SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 36.42%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 36.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lazio in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Porto |
36.35% ( -0.12) | 27.22% ( -0.01) | 36.42% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 50.21% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.74% ( 0.06) | 55.26% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.52% ( 0.05) | 76.48% ( -0.05) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.84% ( -0.04) | 29.16% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.9% ( -0.05) | 65.1% ( 0.05) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.88% ( 0.12) | 29.12% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.95% ( 0.14) | 65.05% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lazio | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 36.35% | 1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.22% | 0-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 36.41% |
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