Real Sociedad will be determined to claim their second European win of the season, but we think that the hosts may have to be content with a share of the spoils when they face an Ajax side that are unbeaten in 16 matches in all competitions.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.69%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 2-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
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