SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 50.84%. A win for Slavia Prague had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.97%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Slavia Prague win was 2-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Slavia Prague | Draw | Ajax |
27.18% ( 0.26) | 21.98% ( -0.15) | 50.84% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 64.23% ( 0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.7% ( 0.96) | 35.3% ( -0.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.68% ( 1.06) | 57.32% ( -1.06) |
| Slavia Prague Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.86% ( 0.68) | 25.14% ( -0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.15% ( 0.93) | 59.85% ( -0.93) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.79% ( 0.31) | 14.21% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.07% ( 0.6) | 41.93% ( -0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Slavia Prague | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.5% Total : 27.18% | 1-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.98% | 1-2 @ 9.39% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 6.8% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 6.11% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 4.42% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 4.22% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 2.98% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 2.06% ( 0.07)1-5 @ 1.16% ( 0.03)3-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.63% Total : 50.84% |
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