It is difficult to ignore Ajax's strong home form and good overall showings in the Europa League so far, and they should be favourites on Thursday. It would not be surprising if the hosts scored multiple goals against Maccabi Tel Aviv given the visitors have struggled away from home recently. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 64.34%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Maccabi Tel Aviv had a probability of 16.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 1-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%), while for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Maccabi Tel Aviv
64.34% ( -0)	19.36% ( 0)	16.3% ( 0)

Both teams to score 56.89% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.58% (

37.42% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.36% (

59.64% (

-0)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.02%

10.99% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.75% (

35.26% (

Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.91% (

0.01)

36.09% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.13% (

72.88% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Ajax 64.34%

Maccabi Tel Aviv 16.3%

Draw 19.36%

Ajax	Draw	Maccabi Tel Aviv
2-1 @ 9.86% 2-0 @ 9.67% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.76% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.25% 3-0 @ 7.12% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.01% 4-0 @ 3.93% 3-2 @ 3.7% 4-2 @ 2.04% 5-1 @ 1.77% 5-0 @ 1.74% 5-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 3.61% Total : 64.34%	1-1 @ 8.93% 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.97% 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 19.36%	1-2 @ 4.55% 0-1 @ 4.04% 0-2 @ 2.06% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.71% 1-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.4% Total : 16.3%