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Europa League | League Stage
Jan 30, 2025 at 8pm UK
MCH Arena

Midtjylland
2 - 2
Fenerbahce

Diao (27'), Byskov (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
En-Nesyri (39'), Dzeko (47')
Soyuncu (76'), (77'), Djiku (88'), Fred (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ludogorets 0-2 Midtjylland
Thursday, January 23 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Fenerbahce 3-2 Goztepe SK
Sunday, January 26 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: FC Midtjylland 1-2 Fenerbahce

With a playoff spot at stake, both teams are expected to play cautiously, aware that a loss could result in elimination, though each will still push for a win, knowing it would put them in a stronger position for qualification. Given their current standing, Fenerbahce will be the more driven side, buoyed by their strong away form in the competition, which could set the stage for a narrow victory for the visiting team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 53.82%. A win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 24.25% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.92%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest FC Midtjylland win was 2-1 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
FC MidtjyllandDrawFenerbahce
24.25% (-0.026999999999997 -0.03) 21.93% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 53.82% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 61.28% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.16% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)37.84% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.91% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)60.09% (0.058 0.06)
FC Midtjylland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.37% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)28.63% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.57% (-0.061 -0.06)64.44% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.86% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)14.14% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.21% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)41.8% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    FC Midtjylland 24.25%
    Fenerbahce 53.82%
    Draw 21.93%
FC MidtjyllandDrawFenerbahce
2-1 @ 6.19% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-0 @ 5.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 2.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 24.25%
1-1 @ 9.9% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.06% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.05% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.93%
1-2 @ 9.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 7.92% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.75% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.32% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 5.05% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.95% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-4 @ 2.47% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-4 @ 1.93% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 1.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-5 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 53.82%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Ludogorets 0-2 Midtjylland
Thursday, January 23 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Porto 2-0 Midtjylland
Thursday, December 12 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Vejle 0-3 Midtjylland
Sunday, December 1 at 3pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Midtjylland 1-2 Frankfurt
Thursday, November 28 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Midtjylland 1-0 Silkeborg
Monday, November 25 at 6.15pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Viborg 1-0 Midtjylland
Sunday, November 10 at 3pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Fenerbahce 3-2 Goztepe SK
Sunday, January 26 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Fenerbahce 0-0 Lyon
Thursday, January 23 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Adana Demirspor 0-4 Fenerbahce
Sunday, January 19 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Konyaspor 2-3 Fenerbahce
Monday, January 13 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Fenerbahce 2-1 Hatayspor
Sunday, January 5 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Eyupspor 1-1 Fenerbahce
Friday, December 20 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig


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