SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 48.69%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Lyon |
48.69% ( -0.69) | 23.02% ( 0.11) | 28.29% ( 0.58) |
| Both teams to score 61.36% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.53% ( -0.09) | 39.46% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.19% ( -0.09) | 61.8% ( 0.09) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.53% ( -0.28) | 16.47% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.82% ( -0.51) | 46.17% ( 0.51) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.46% ( 0.35) | 26.53% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.26% ( 0.47) | 61.74% ( -0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Lyon |
| 2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.46% Total : 48.69% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.01% | 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.23% Total : 28.29% |
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