SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.18%) and 0-1 (4.83%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Lyon |
36.39% ( -0.02) | 21.63% ( 0) | 41.97% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 70.61% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.03% ( -0.03) | 28.96% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.06% ( -0.03) | 49.93% ( 0.03) |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.93% ( -0.02) | 17.06% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.76% ( -0.04) | 47.24% ( 0.04) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.14% ( -0.01) | 14.85% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.82% ( -0.01) | 43.17% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Lyon |
| 2-1 @ 7.56% 1-0 @ 4.48% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.45% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.25% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.96% 3-0 @ 2.34% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.88% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.19% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 3.29% Total : 36.39% | 1-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 7.2% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.7% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.53% ( 0)Other @ 0.65% Total : 21.64% | 1-2 @ 8.15% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.18% ( 0)0-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.61% ( 0)2-3 @ 4.58% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.93% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.47% ( 0)2-4 @ 2.18% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.4% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.29% ( -0)1-5 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.41% Total : 41.97% |
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