PAOK may have won their last three European matches, but they have lost two of their three away games in the league phase, and with that in mind, we think that they will fall just short against a Real Sociedad side that have won their previous two home Europa League fixtures. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for PAOK had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest PAOK win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.

Result
Real Sociedad	Draw	PAOK
44.98% ( -0)	26.01% ( 0)	29% ( -0)

Both teams to score 51.85% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.82% (

-0.02)

52.18% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.11% (

-0.01)

73.89% (

0.01)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.87% (

-0.01)

23.13% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.01% (

-0.01)

56.99% (

0.01)

PAOK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.45% (

-0.01)

32.55% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.91% (

-0.01)

69.09% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Real Sociedad 44.98%

PAOK 29.01%

Draw 26.01%

Real Sociedad	Draw	PAOK
1-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.07% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.42% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.94% 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.44% 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.03% Total : 44.98%	1-1 @ 12.37% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.53% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.01%	0-1 @ 8.45% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.94% 0-2 @ 4.74% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.6% Total : 29.01%