Real Sociedad have won each of their last four home league games against Espanyol, and we are backing a narrow success for the Basque outfit this weekend, but it would not be a surprise to see the points shared.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 51.88%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 22.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Sociedad.
0.07) 
-0.15) 
