SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 6 | -5 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Almeria | 6 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Espanyol | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Sevilla | 5 | -4 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 64.16%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 13.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.07%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Sociedad.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Espanyol |
64.16% ( 0.55) | 21.86% ( -0.25) | 13.99% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 43.27% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.3% ( 0.36) | 52.7% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.66% ( 0.31) | 74.34% ( -0.31) |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.19% ( 0.31) | 15.81% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.03% ( 0.56) | 44.97% ( -0.56) |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.39% ( -0.24) | 48.61% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 16.33% ( -0.17) | 83.68% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Espanyol |
| 1-0 @ 14.17% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 13.07% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.85% Total : 64.15% | 1-1 @ 10.22% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.55% Total : 21.85% | 0-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 2% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.76% Total : 13.99% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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