SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 15 | Espanyol | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Real Valladolid | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Real Valladolid | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 | Sevilla | 4 | -5 | 1 |
| 18 | Elche | 4 | -8 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 1-0 (11.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Sevilla |
31.83% ( -0.03) | 28.96% ( -0.01) | 39.21% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 44.51% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.95% ( 0.01) | 62.05% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.23% ( 0.01) | 81.77% ( -0.01) |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.33% ( -0.02) | 35.68% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.55% ( -0.02) | 72.45% ( 0.02) |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.2% ( 0.02) | 30.8% ( -0.03) |
