SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Almeria | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Sevilla | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Cadiz | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Elche | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 19 | Getafe | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 20 | Real Valladolid | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 50.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 24.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Real Valladolid |
50.15% ( 1.55) | 25.37% ( 0.61) | 24.47% ( -2.17) |
| Both teams to score 50.18% ( -3.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.38% ( -4.16) | 52.61% ( 4.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.73% ( -3.67) | 74.27% ( 3.67) |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79% ( -1.02) | 21% ( 1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.23% ( -1.61) | 53.77% ( 1.61) |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.52% ( -4.06) | 36.48% ( 4.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.73% ( -4.33) | 73.26% ( 4.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sevilla | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 1-0 @ 11.95% ( 1.52) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.93)3-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.35)3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.39)4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.19)Other @ 2.47% Total : 50.15% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.3) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( 1.18)2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.59)Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.43) 1-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.54)0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.44)2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.41)0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.23)Other @ 1.83% Total : 24.47% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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