SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Real Sociedad | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Real Valladolid | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Valencia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Valencia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Villarreal | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Sevilla | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Villarreal |
40.66% ( -0.18) | 24.79% ( -0.03) | 34.55% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 58.19% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.03% ( 0.19) | 44.97% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.68% ( 0.18) | 67.32% ( -0.19) |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.92% ( -0) | 22.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.56% ( -0) | 55.44% ( -0) |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.68% ( 0.21) | 25.32% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.9% ( 0.29) | 60.1% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Villarreal |
| 2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 2.41% Total : 40.66% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.79% | 1-2 @ 7.97% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 34.55% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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