Though results matter less before the competitive action kicks off, Southampton will have been glad to pick up a first win against Monaco. However, they are stepping up in class on Saturday. With European pedigree and plenty of attacking options to choose from, Villarreal can continue their successful spell by getting the better of defensively dubious hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for has a probability of 28.18% and a draw has a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (8.56%). The likeliest win is 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.87%).

Result
	Draw
28.18% ( 0.34)	27.42% ( 0.06)	44.4% ( -0.41)

Both teams to score 47.21% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.08% (

-0.07)

57.92% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.37% (

-0.06)

78.62% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.76% (

0.23)

36.24% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.97% (

0.24)

73.02% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.04% (

-0.24)

25.95% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.04% (

-0.32)

60.96% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

28.18%

44.39%

Draw 27.41%

	Draw
1-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.91% Total : 28.18%	1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.41%	0-1 @ 12.68% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.56% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.12% Total : 44.39%