SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Real Betis | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Valencia | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | Espanyol | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 16 | Elche | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 66.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 12.03%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.37%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Espanyol |
66.39% ( 0.05) | 21.59% ( -0.03) | 12.03% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 39.04% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.5% ( 0.06) | 55.5% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.32% ( 0.05) | 76.68% ( -0.05) |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.98% ( 0.04) | 16.02% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.64% ( 0.07) | 45.36% ( -0.07) |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.49% ( 0) | 53.51% ( -0) |
