SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Athletic Bilbao | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Atletico Madrid | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Getafe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Mallorca | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Real Betis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 57.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 16.87%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.58%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Mallorca |
57.74% ( -2.62) | 25.38% ( 1.03) | 16.87% ( 1.58) |
| Both teams to score 40.07% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.5% ( -1.19) | 60.49% ( 1.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.39% ( -0.91) | 80.61% ( 0.91) |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.95% ( -1.5) | 21.05% ( 1.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.14% ( -2.39) | 53.85% ( 2.39) |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.75% ( 1.44) | 49.24% ( -1.44) |
