SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Cadiz | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Elche | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Elche | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Espanyol | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Getafe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 58.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 17.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Espanyol |
58.77% ( 0.04) | 23.49% ( 0.04) | 17.73% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 46.44% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.21% ( -0.25) | 52.79% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.58% ( -0.21) | 74.41% ( 0.21) |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.3% ( -0.08) | 17.69% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.65% ( -0.13) | 48.34% ( 0.13) |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.42% ( -0.24) | 43.57% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.22% ( -0.2) | 79.77% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Espanyol |
| 1-0 @ 13.35% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 11.56% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.89% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1% ( -0)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 58.77% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.7% Total : 23.49% | 0-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.68% Total : 17.73% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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