SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Osasuna | 38 | -14 | 47 |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 0 | 46 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -11 | 42 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 | Elche | 38 | -12 | 42 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 38 | -13 | 42 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 66.13%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Elche had a probability of 13.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Elche |
66.13% ( 0.19) | 20.08% ( -0.08) | 13.79% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 48.06% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.07% ( 0.09) | 45.93% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.76% ( 0.08) | 68.24% ( -0.08) |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.99% ( 0.08) | 13.01% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.45% ( 0.17) | 39.55% ( -0.17) |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.25% ( -0.12) | 44.75% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.27% ( -0.09) | 80.73% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Elche |
| 2-0 @ 12.1% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 11.87% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.37% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 66.12% | 1-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.79% Total : 20.08% | 0-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.3% Total : 13.79% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 54 | 9 | 45 | 76 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 31 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 65 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 50 | 23 | 27 | 63 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 55 |
| 5 | Real BetisBetis | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 49 |
| 6 | Villarreal | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 47 |
| 7 | Athletic Bilbao | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 46 |
| 8 | Osasuna | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 44 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 41 |
| 10 | Mallorca | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 40 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 40 |
| 12 | Sevilla | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 38 |
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 36 |
| 14 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 35 |
| 15 | Almeria | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 33 |
| 16 | CadizCadiz | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 32 |
| 17 | Getafe | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 31 |
| 18 | Valencia | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 30 |
| 19 | Espanyol | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 28 |
| 20 | ElcheElche | 30 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 61 | -41 | 13 |
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