Alaves have avoided defeat in two of their last three matches, but they will now be coming up against an excellent Villarreal outfit; we are expecting Saturday's game to be close in terms of the scoreline, but the Yellow Submarine should be able to navigate their way to an important three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 49.71%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 23.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
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