This is a tough match to call, as Espanyol have struggled badly on their travels this season, but there is no question that the Catalan side are an improving outfit, and we are expecting Gonzalez's side to be good enough for a point on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 38.31%. A draw had a probability of 31.1% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 30.63%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.81%) and 2-1 (7.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.01%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Espanyol
38.31% ( -0.02)	31.06% ( 0)	30.63% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 38.95% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

31.4% (

0.01)

68.61% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

13.67% (

86.33% (

-0)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.21% (

-0.01)

34.8% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.47% (

-0.01)

71.53% (

0.01)

Espanyol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.74% (

0.02)

40.26% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.11% (

0.02)

76.89% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Alaves 38.31%

Espanyol 30.62%

Draw 31.06%

Alaves	Draw	Espanyol
1-0 @ 14.79% 2-0 @ 7.81% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.1% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.75% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.5% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.23% Total : 38.31%	0-0 @ 14.01% 1-1 @ 13.45% 2-2 @ 3.23% ( 0) Other @ 0.37% Total : 31.06%	0-1 @ 12.74% 1-2 @ 6.12% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.8% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 1.37% Total : 30.62%