Espanyol have improved of late, and this could be a tricky affair for Athletic - it would not be a surprise to see the points shared on Sunday, but we just have a feeling that the visitors will be able to navigate their way to a hugely important three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 42.23%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 28.86%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.44%) and 1-2 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Espanyol win it was 1-0 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
-0.05) 
0.15) 
