Athletic have struggled to produce their best form in the first month of 2025, but they will still take confidence from the fact that they have won all three of their home matches in the league phase, and we think that they will produce another strong performance in front of their own supporters to take maximum points from Thursday's fixture.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 64.09%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Viktoria Plzen had a probability of 15.38%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Viktoria Plzen win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
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