Villarreal have been in excellent form of late, and with Perez now back to full fitness, a push for the top four is in full flow. Las Palmas are certainly capable of picking up a positive result here, and we are backing them to score against a shaky defence, but Villarreal's quality in the forward areas should allow them to secure all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Villarreal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Villarreal.
0.15) 
-0.26) 
