Valencia's recent form has been impressive, but their struggles on the road are a concern, and we are finding it very difficult to back them to pick up a positive result here. However, it should be a close match in terms of the scoreline, with Villarreal potentially only just shading it.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 59.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 18.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
0.48) 
-0.14) 
