SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 26.7% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Boavista |
47.31% ( -0.61) | 25.99% ( 0.03) | 26.7% ( 0.58) |
| Both teams to score 50.34% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.61% ( 0.28) | 53.38% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.07% ( 0.23) | 74.92% ( -0.23) |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.43% ( -0.16) | 22.56% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.84% ( -0.24) | 56.15% ( 0.24) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.01% ( 0.63) | 34.99% ( -0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.26% ( 0.66) | 71.73% ( -0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vizela | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 11.75% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.05)Other @ 3% Total : 47.3% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.1% Total : 26.7% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 34 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 82 | 20 | 62 | 87 |
| 2 | Porto | 34 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 73 | 22 | 51 | 85 |
| 3 | Braga | 33 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 72 | 30 | 42 | 75 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 71 | 32 | 39 | 74 |
| 5 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 54 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 53 |
| 7 | ChavesChaves | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 46 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 44 |
| 9 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 44 |
| 10 | Casa Pia | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 41 |
| 11 | Vizela | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 40 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 37 |
| 14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 35 |
| 15 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 34 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 32 | 63 | -31 | 26 |
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 26 | 59 | -33 | 23 |
| R | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 26 | 58 | -32 | 22 |
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