SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vizela in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vizela.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Vizela |
28.38% ( 0.15) | 27.45% ( 0.06) | 44.17% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 47.25% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.07% ( -0.14) | 57.93% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.37% ( -0.11) | 78.63% ( 0.11) |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.92% ( 0.05) | 36.08% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.13% ( 0.05) | 72.87% ( -0.05) |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.92% ( -0.17) | 26.08% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.87% ( -0.23) | 61.12% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Vizela |
| 1-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.5% ( -0)Other @ 1.94% Total : 28.38% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.45% | 0-1 @ 12.64% 1-2 @ 8.66% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.5% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.1% Total : 44.16% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 32 | 27 | 2 | 3 | 77 | 18 | 59 | 83 |
| 2 | Porto | 32 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 66 | 20 | 46 | 79 |
| 3 | Braga | 33 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 72 | 30 | 42 | 75 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 67 | 29 | 38 | 70 |
| 5 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 51 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 50 |
| 7 | ChavesChaves | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 46 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 13 | 4 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 43 |
| 9 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 41 |
| 10 | Vizela | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 40 |
| 11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 40 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 39 |
| 13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 34 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 34 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 28 | 46 | -18 | 31 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 33 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 31 | 60 | -29 | 26 |
| 17 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 22 |
| 18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 23 | 58 | -35 | 20 |
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