SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 49.79%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 25.23% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Vizela |
49.79% ( 1.8) | 24.99% ( -0.75) | 25.23% ( -1.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.1% ( 1.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.54% ( 2.22) | 50.46% ( -2.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.61% ( 1.93) | 72.39% ( -1.93) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.72% ( 1.68) | 20.28% ( -1.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.36% ( 2.61) | 52.64% ( -2.6) |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.35% ( 0.32) | 34.64% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.63% ( 0.34) | 71.37% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Vizela |
| 1-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.42) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.36)3-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.3)3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.21)4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.24)4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.21)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.71% Total : 49.79% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.35) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.65)2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.62) 1-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.29)1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.14% Total : 25.23% |
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