SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Gil Vicente |
29.33% ( 0.01) | 24.39% ( 0) | 46.28% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.31% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.87% ( -0.01) | 45.13% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.52% ( -0.01) | 67.48% ( 0.01) |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.3% ( 0) | 28.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.47% ( 0) | 64.53% ( -0) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.38% ( -0.01) | 19.62% ( 0.01) |
