SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 47.02%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Portimonense |
47.02% ( -0.03) | 26.39% ( 0.01) | 26.59% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.06% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.99% ( -0.03) | 55% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.72% ( -0.03) | 76.27% ( 0.02) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.61% ( -0.03) | 23.38% ( 0.03) |
