We said: Gil Vicente 1-1 Estoril Praia
With each of the last five meetings between the sides ending all square, we expect another cagey affair at the Estadio Cidade de Barcelos this weekend. Both sides are evenly-matched on paper and we predict that the spoils will be shared once again.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 50.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 23.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Estoril Praia |
50.81% ( 0) | 25.9% ( 0) | 23.29% |
Both teams to score 47.47% ( -0) |
| 44.43% ( -0) | 55.57% ( 0) |
| 23.26% ( -0) | 76.74% ( 0.01) |
| 78.07% | 21.93% ( 0) |
