SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Portimonense | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Estoril Praia | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Chaves | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Pacos de Ferreira | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Maritimo | 2 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.4%) and 1-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Rio Ave |
29.01% ( 0.04) | 28.8% ( 0) | 42.19% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 43.93% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.73% ( 0.01) | 62.27% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.06% ( 0.01) | 81.93% ( -0.01) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.04% ( 0.04) | 37.96% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.27% ( 0.04) | 74.73% ( -0.04) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.81% ( -0.02) | 29.19% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.87% ( -0.02) | 65.13% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 1-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.68% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 1.66% Total : 29.01% | 1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 11.08% 2-2 @ 3.94% ( 0)Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.79% | 0-1 @ 13.64% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.4% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 1.51% Total : 42.19% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 20 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 51 | 12 | 39 | 53 |
| 2 | Porto | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 47 | 12 | 35 | 48 |
| 3 | Braga | 20 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 45 | 20 | 25 | 46 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 38 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 33 |
| 6 | Casa Pia | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 30 |
| 7 | AroucaArouca | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 30 |
| 8 | ChavesChaves | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 26 |
| 9 | Vizela | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 25 |
| 10 | BoavistaBoavista | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 25 |
| 11 | PortimonensePortimonense | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 23 |
| 12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 22 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
| 14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 21 |
| 15 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 21 |
| 16 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 15 |
| 17 | Maritimo | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 13 |
| 18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 36 | -24 | 9 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
