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E
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
May 7, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
M
Estoril
1 - 0
Moreirense
Franco (64')
Mboula (44'), Vital (81'), Vega (90+3'), Fonte (90+4'), Joaozinho (90+5')
Vital (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mane (53'), Amador (74'), Luis (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 2-0 Estoril
Saturday, May 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 1-0 Chaves
Sunday, May 29 at 7.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 1-2 Moreirense

Moreirense have endured an underwhelming campaign so far and find themselves in the drop zone with two games left to play. However, they take on an out-of-sorts Estoril Praia side who are winless in six consecutive outings and we predict they will come away with all three points to keep their survival hopes alive.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 46.71%. A win for Moreirense has a probability of 26.93% and a draw has a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline is Estoril Praia 1-1 Moreirense with a probability of 12.49% and the second most likely scoreline is Estoril Praia 1-0 Moreirense with a probability of 12.07%.

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 46.71%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Estoril Praia in this match.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawMoreirense
46.71%26.36%26.93%
Both teams to score 49.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.3%54.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.98%76.02%
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.6%23.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.61%57.38%
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.48%35.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.72%72.28%
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 46.71%
    Moreirense 26.93%
    Draw 26.36%
Estoril PraiaDrawMoreirense
1-0 @ 12.07%
2-1 @ 9.08%
2-0 @ 8.77%
3-1 @ 4.39%
3-0 @ 4.24%
3-2 @ 2.27%
4-1 @ 1.6%
4-0 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 46.71%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 8.31%
2-2 @ 4.7%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.36%
0-1 @ 8.6%
1-2 @ 6.47%
0-2 @ 4.45%
1-3 @ 2.23%
2-3 @ 1.62%
0-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 26.93%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Famalicao 3-1 Estoril
Friday, April 29 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 2-2 Belenenses
Sunday, April 24 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 0-0 Braga
Monday, April 18 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 2-0 Estoril
Sunday, April 10 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 1-2 Vizela
Saturday, April 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 2-1 Estoril
Sunday, March 20 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 1-2 Boavista
Sunday, May 1 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-0 Moreirense
Saturday, April 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 2-0 Tondela
Saturday, April 16 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-2 Moreirense
Friday, April 8 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 0-1 Guimaraes
Sunday, April 3 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 2-1 Moreirense
Sunday, March 20 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17141240172343
2Benfica16123131102139
3Porto16112323121135
4Braga16103340231733
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes169342618830
6MoreirenseMoreirense178542418629
7FamalicaoFamalicao175751720-322
8SC FarenseFarense176382323021
9Casa Pia175481823-519
10PortimonensePortimonense175391836-1818
11Estoril PraiaEstoril1752103132-117
12Estrela Amadora164571723-617
13BoavistaBoavista164572230-817
14AroucaArouca164482223-116
15Gil Vicente164392630-415
16Rio AveRio Ave163671824-615
17Vizela162771523-813
18ChavesChaves1732121844-2611
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