Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 45.77%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 27.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
