Santa Clara will fancy their chances of returning to winning ways as they head home where they have been solid in recent weeks. They face an out-of-sorts Estoril Praia side who have picked up two points from their last six games on the road and we predict they will come away with all three points, albeit by the odd goal.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 47.33%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.
