Buoyed by last weekend's win over Estoril Praia, Santa Clara will head into Friday's game with renewed confidence as they look to secure a top-half finish this season. They face a floundering Arouca side, who have picked up just five points from their last six games and we predict Os Acoreanos will claim all three points, albeit by the odd goal.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 47.34%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
