SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Porto | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Rio Ave | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Santa Clara | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Vizela | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Arouca | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 50.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 23.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Vizela |
50.3% ( 0.21) | 26.29% ( 0.09) | 23.41% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 46.5% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.11% ( -0.58) | 56.89% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.19% ( -0.47) | 77.81% ( 0.47) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.3% ( -0.16) | 22.7% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.64% ( -0.23) | 56.36% ( 0.23) |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.15% ( -0.62) | 39.85% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.49% ( -0.57) | 76.51% ( 0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Vizela |
| 1-0 @ 13.41% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.78% Total : 50.3% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.7% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.37% Total : 23.41% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 45 | 12 | 33 | 47 |
| 2 | Braga | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 13 | 26 | 40 |
| 3 | Porto | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 11 | 30 | 39 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 32 |
| 5 | Casa Pia | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 30 |
| 6 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 26 |
| 7 | Vizela | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 24 |
| 8 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 24 |
| 9 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 24 |
| 10 | ChavesChaves | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 22 |
| 11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 21 |
| 12 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 21 |
| 13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 20 |
| 14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 19 |
| 15 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 18 |
| 16 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 14 |
| 17 | Maritimo | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 13 |
| 18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 34 | -24 | 6 |
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