SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Estoril Praia | 33 | -9 | 36 |
| 14 | Vizela | 33 | -18 | 33 |
| 15 | Arouca | 33 | -22 | 31 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Santa Clara | 34 | -16 | 40 |
| 8 | Maritimo | 33 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Boavista | 34 | -13 | 38 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Maritimo |
40.02% ( -0.3) | 26.96% ( 0.07) | 33.02% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 50.62% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.45% ( -0.2) | 54.54% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.1% ( -0.17) | 75.89% ( 0.17) |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.29% ( -0.26) | 26.71% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.03% ( -0.34) | 61.97% ( 0.35) |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.07% ( 0.06) | 30.93% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.77% ( 0.07) | 67.23% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vizela | Draw | Maritimo |
| 1-0 @ 10.9% 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.13% Total : 40.02% | 1-1 @ 12.79% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.95% | 0-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0)Other @ 3.03% Total : 33.02% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 32 | 27 | 2 | 3 | 77 | 18 | 59 | 83 |
| 2 | Porto | 32 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 66 | 20 | 46 | 79 |
| 3 | Braga | 32 | 24 | 2 | 6 | 71 | 29 | 42 | 74 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 67 | 29 | 38 | 70 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 50 |
| 6 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 48 |
| 7 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 46 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 13 | 4 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 43 |
| 9 | Vizela | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 40 |
| 10 | Casa Pia | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 40 |
| 11 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 40 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 39 |
| 13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 10 | 4 | 18 | 25 | 45 | -20 | 34 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 34 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 28 | 46 | -18 | 31 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 32 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 23 |
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 23 | 58 | -35 | 20 |
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 25 | 55 | -30 | 19 |
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