While they have been solid in attack in recent weeks, Vizela's defensive woes has left them without a win in six consecutive games and just three since the turn of the year. However, fresh off the back of an impressive draw against Benfica, we are tipping the Vizelenses to take the positives from that matchup and snatch a draw against a Famalicao side who appear to have run out of gas.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
