With just two points and two places between the sides in the Primeira Liga table, we expect a cagey affair at the Estadio Capital do Movel on Saturday. Pacos de Ferreira have struggled for form on home turf this season and we are backing the Vizelenses to hold out for a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.
