After a brilliant start to life in the Primeira Liga, Estoril Praia appear to have run out of steam in recent weeks as they find themselves struggling to string together a decent run of form. Despite being lower in the standings, Pacos de Ferreira head into the game as the more in-form side and we are tipping them to claim the win and heap more misery on the floundering hosts.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
