Braga have struggled for consistency this season and this has been a major cause of concern for manager Carvalhal, whose side have won three and lost three of their last seven games. However, they will fancy their chances against a struggling Pacos de Ferreira side who are without a win in any of their last five games. We predict a thrilling contest on Saturday with the hosts coming out victorious.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 73.23%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 9.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.61%) and 3-0 (10.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
