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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 6, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
 
FL
Sporting Lisbon
2 - 0
Famalicao
Sarabia (6' pen.), Reis (63')
Feddal (45+3'), Porro (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Alex (45+3'), Pickel (74')

We said: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Famalicao

Famalicao have struggled for consistency in recent weeks, picking up just one win from their last 10 games in all competitions. Sporting Lisbon, meanwhile, will be looking to put together another fine run of form having recently clinched the Taca da Liga title. We are tipping the hosts to come away with all three points and leave the visitors languishing at the wrong end of the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 71.07%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 10.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.74%) and 3-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawFamalicao
71.07%18.01%10.92%
Both teams to score 46.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.13%43.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.74%66.26%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.94%11.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.6%35.4%
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.77%48.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.6%83.4%
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 71.07%
    Famalicao 10.92%
    Draw 18.01%
Sporting LisbonDrawFamalicao
2-0 @ 12.93%
1-0 @ 11.74%
3-0 @ 9.49%
2-1 @ 9.43%
3-1 @ 6.92%
4-0 @ 5.23%
4-1 @ 3.81%
3-2 @ 2.52%
5-0 @ 2.3%
5-1 @ 1.68%
4-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 71.07%
1-1 @ 8.56%
0-0 @ 5.33%
2-2 @ 3.44%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 18.01%
0-1 @ 3.89%
1-2 @ 3.12%
0-2 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 10.92%

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Primeira Liga Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica30252371175477
2Porto30234363194473
3Braga30232566254171
4Sporting Lisbon29194659273261
5AroucaArouca3013983334-148
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes30135122936-744
7FamalicaoFamalicao29133133337-442
8ChavesChaves301010103034-440
9Vizela30116133332139
10Casa Pia30116132734-739
11Rio AveRio Ave30108123135-438
12BoavistaBoavista30107133649-1337
13PortimonensePortimonense30103172339-1633
14Gil Vicente3087152636-1031
15Estoril PraiaEstoril3084182645-1928
16Maritimo3064202756-2922
17Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira3055202352-2920
18Santa ClaraSanta Clara3037201948-2916
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