Coverage of the Taca da Liga Second Round clash between Arouca and Rio Ave.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 65.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 13.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.86%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-0 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rio Ave in this match.