MX23RW : Friday, April 28 20:10:58
SM
Friday, April 28
A
Taca da Liga | Second Round
Aug 1, 2021 at 5pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
RA
Arouca
0 - 1
Rio Ave
FT(HT: 0-1)
Aderlan (38')
Gomes (23'), Gomes (40'), Manuel (50'), Ukra (90+5')
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Second Round clash between Arouca and Rio Ave.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 65.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 13.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.86%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-0 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rio Ave in this match.

Result
AroucaDrawRio Ave
13.68%21.08%65.24%
Both teams to score 44.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.71%50.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.76%72.24%
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.39%47.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.06%82.94%
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.34%14.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.2%42.8%
Score Analysis
    Arouca 13.68%
    Rio Ave 65.23%
    Draw 21.08%
AroucaDrawRio Ave
1-0 @ 5.18%
2-1 @ 3.69%
2-0 @ 1.92%
3-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 13.68%
1-1 @ 9.95%
0-0 @ 6.98%
2-2 @ 3.54%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.08%
0-1 @ 13.39%
0-2 @ 12.86%
1-2 @ 9.55%
0-3 @ 8.24%
1-3 @ 6.11%
0-4 @ 3.95%
1-4 @ 2.93%
2-3 @ 2.27%
0-5 @ 1.52%
1-5 @ 1.13%
2-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 65.23%

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