SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Sporting Lisbon | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Estoril Praia | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Braga | 6 | 16 | 16 |
| 3 | Porto | 6 | 11 | 15 |
| 4 | Portimonense | 7 | 2 | 15 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 72.47%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 9.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.16%) and 0-3 (9.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Porto |
9.98% ( -0.46) | 17.55% ( 0.14) | 72.47% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 44.17% ( -2.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.5% ( -2.01) | 44.5% ( 2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.13% ( -1.97) | 66.87% ( 1.97) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.55% ( -2.22) | 50.45% ( 2.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 15.03% ( -1.57) | 84.97% ( 1.56) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.14% ( -0.46) | 10.86% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 65.02% ( -1.03) | 34.98% ( 1.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.1% Total : 9.98% | 1-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.46)2-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.26)Other @ 0.59% Total : 17.55% | 0-2 @ 13.5% ( 0.65) 0-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.81)0-3 @ 9.99% ( 0.3)1-2 @ 9.24% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 6.84% ( -0.23)0-4 @ 5.55% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 3.79% ( -0.2)0-5 @ 2.46% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.24)1-5 @ 1.68% ( -0.13)2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.16)0-6 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.7% Total : 72.46% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 17 | 20 | 40 |
| 2 | Benfica | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 10 | 21 | 39 |
| 3 | Porto | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 35 |
| 4 | Braga | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 33 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 30 |
| 6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
| 7 | SC FarenseFarense | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 21 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 19 |
| 9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 19 |
| 10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 17 |
| 11 | Estrela Amadora | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 17 |
| 12 | BoavistaBoavista | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
| 13 | AroucaArouca | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 15 |
| 15 | Rio AveRio Ave | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 15 |
| 16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 15 |
| 17 | Vizela | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 13 |
| 18 | ChavesChaves | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 11 |
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