SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Famalicao | 3 | -5 | 1 |
| 17 | Pacos de Ferreira | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Maritimo | 3 | -10 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Arouca | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 8 | Estoril Praia | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Casa Pia | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 45.83%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 26.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Estoril Praia |
45.83% ( 0.01) | 28.05% ( 0.25) | 26.12% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 44.18% ( -0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.9% ( -0.97) | 61.1% ( 0.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.93% ( -0.73) | 81.07% ( 0.73) |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.3% ( -0.45) | 26.69% ( 0.44) |
