SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Santa Clara | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Pacos de Ferreira | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Pacos de Ferreira | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Portimonense | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 59.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 16.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.42%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gil Vicente in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Gil Vicente.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
59.32% ( 1.27) | 24.12% ( -0.23) | 16.56% ( -1.04) |
| Both teams to score 42.65% ( -1.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.3% ( -0.58) | 56.71% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.34% ( -0.47) | 77.66% ( 0.47) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.05% ( 0.27) | 18.95% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.53% ( 0.43) | 50.47% ( -0.43) |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.62% ( -1.67) | 47.39% ( 1.67) |
